Peter Power's probability, 'a spooky coincidence'

Discussion about the July 7th 2005 bombings on London's public transport network. Underground CCTV security contract awarded to crooked (Kobi Alexander chair of their parent company is on the run) Israeli firm Verint Systems & their boss, IDF trained explosives expert Daniel Bodner. Crookedness, incompetance, misfescence and corruption at MI5, Scotland Yard 'Untouchables' and other parts of the Metropolitan Police which allowed 7/7 to happen and have contributed to the London Bombings not being investigated.

Moderator: Moderators

User avatar
ian neal
Angel - now passed away
Angel - now passed away
Posts: 3148
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 9:08 am
Location: UK

Post by ian neal »

In terms of the odds of the timing coinciding, I have only made some rough estimate based on the days coinciding

What is unclear is what PP meant by

"... at the EXACT SAME TIME at the EXACT same places...."

If the bombs exploded at the exact same times to the hour and minute, then the coincidence becomes even more 'spooky'.
Kristdime
Last Chance Saloon
Last Chance Saloon
Posts: 9
Joined: Thu Mar 24, 2016 11:42 pm

Post by Kristdime »

ian neal wrote:In terms of the odds of the timing coinciding, I have only made some rough estimate based on the days coinciding

What is unclear is what PP meant by

"... at the EXACT SAME TIME at the EXACT same places...."

If the bombs exploded at the exact same times to the hour and minute, then the coincidence becomes even more 'spooky'.
Don't you think he just changed his story though when the obvious became clear? He did definitely confirm 'precisely those 3 stations'.
User avatar
TonyGosling
Editor
Editor
Posts: 18429
Joined: Mon Jul 25, 2005 1:03 pm
Location: St. Pauls, Bristol, England
Contact:

Post by TonyGosling »

I think you have those figures wrong Ian. You can't assume terrorists would only attack central London stations. What about those near outlying barracks? Or Heathrow/ the BBC/ITV?
I' trying to come up with a baseline figure which pulls no punches on the face of what Peter Power says.
Tom Secker's calculation is simply mathematically wrong.
ian neal wrote:Hi
Let me try to come up with a number
3/40 x 2/39 x 1/38
70,000 to 1 which let's face it is humongously long odds and certainly worthy of people's questions.
User avatar
ian neal
Angel - now passed away
Angel - now passed away
Posts: 3148
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 9:08 am
Location: UK

Post by ian neal »

There is definitely a debate to be had about what assumptions and numbers to use

I say there are 40 'high profile' stations to use on the basis that Westminster tube is a more probable target than Cockfosters or Ealing Broadway

I admit this is completely subjective. You could easily argue there are 100 stations as central and high profile as Edgware Road or Aldgate.

The point I'm making was that even when making conservative assumptions the odds are still very long
User avatar
outsider
Trustworthy Freedom Fighter
Trustworthy Freedom Fighter
Posts: 6069
Joined: Sun Jul 30, 2006 9:02 pm
Location: East London

Post by outsider »

I wouldn't mind having a £5 accumulator on all the different figures!
Then PP ('Paddy' Power!) would be very hard to find!

Come to think of it, why not ask a bookie to give odds on the occurrence?
'And he (the devil) said to him: To thee will I give all this power, and the glory of them; for to me they are delivered, and to whom I will, I give them'. Luke IV 5-7.
Post Reply